Makarov System

“A simple strategy- split up your session at the table into 35 spins. Bet on a single number 35 times in succession. You are fishing for an early win. ”
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4 votes, average: 2.75 out of 54 votes, average: 2.75 out of 54 votes, average: 2.75 out of 54 votes, average: 2.75 out of 54 votes, average: 2.75 out of 5

This is a fairly simple roulette system named after the Atlantic French resort more famous for its surfing beaches than its roulette systems, but anyway.

It was developed by a French IT expert called Alexander Makarov.
A warning for the faint-hearted- this roulette system is not a timd one! Don’t try this is you wear a pace-maker.


The bet is placed on single numbers with a payout of 35:1. You rebet after every loss (flat betting, say 5 quid a go). You either hit your number before the 36th spin (in which case you walk away smiling) or you lose all of your bets. The earlier your number hits, the better your profit.

There are several variations on the Makarov System that hinge on the usual “Gambler’s Fallacy”- the idea that if you monitor the wheel for long enough and a number doesn’t land (a so called “sleeper”), then this number is more likely to land moving forwards.

Of course the “Gambler’s Fallacy” is just that. A “Fallacy”.

Here’s the Oxford dictionary definition:
Fallacy: noun (plural fallacies)
A mistaken belief, especially one based on unsound arguments:
The notion that the camera never lies is a fallacy
Logica failure in reasoning which renders an argument invalid.

Origin:
late 15th century (in the sense “deception, guile”; gradually superseding Middle English fallace): from Latin fallacia, from fallax, fallac- ‘deceiving’, from fallere ‘deceive’

So…pretty clear then. The wheel has no memory remember! Each spin is a mutually exclusive event that is in no way shape or form influenced by previous events.

One of these Gambler Fallacy versions of the Makarov roulette system requires you to do some statistical research during 100 spins (when the data distribution starts to become statistically significant).  Then you choose the number that landed less than 3 times.

Actually, more likely, if you are playing on a real wheel, is that there is some bias on hte wheel. You’d be better off betting on the numbers that did land over 100 spins (or at least pick a single number from a “hot sector”). This only appies to laying roulette in a real casino or playing live roulette on a real wheel (over a webcam) of course. You don’t get these kind of imperfections on a virtual roulette wheel.

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1 vote, average: 5.00 out of 51 vote, average: 5.00 out of 51 vote, average: 5.00 out of 51 vote, average: 5.00 out of 51 vote, average: 5.00 out of 5
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Full Specs

type Medium Risk
cost Free
progression Repeater